Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Switzerland (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Jordan (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Switzerland (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Jordan (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
A FIFA International Friendly between Switzerland and Jordan is scheduled for 31 May 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The market in question concerns whether additional betting or prediction markets will be created for this fixture. The 100% crowd probability suggests near-certainty that supplementary markets—such as over/under goals, first goalscorer, or half-time/full-time outcomes—will be offered by major sportsbooks and prediction platforms ahead of kick-off.
Historical precedent strongly supports this reading. Friendlies involving European national teams, particularly those featuring Switzerland's established UEFA status, routinely attract secondary market creation from operators seeking to capture trading volume across multiple outcome categories. Even lower-profile fixtures generate ancillary markets when they involve confederations with established betting infrastructure. The timing of this match—a full four years from the settlement window—allows ample opportunity for market operators to plan their offerings, reducing execution risk.
The primary catalyst remains the standard commercial behaviour of sportsbooks in the weeks preceding the match. No specific regulatory announcement or scheduling change would alter the baseline expectation; rather, traders should monitor whether either national team experiences injury crises, fixture congestion, or diplomatic complications that might cause cancellation or postponement. As of late 2025, no such disruptions have been reported. The market's certainty reflects the routine nature of market proliferation for international football fixtures rather than any exceptional circumstance.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $229K.
Methodology
This page tracks Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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