Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany and Côte d'Ivoire face off in a pivotal FIFA World Cup Group E encounter at Toronto Stadium on 20 June 2026, with both sides seeking to secure knockout qualification. The market currently assigns a 4% probability to an exact score outcome, reflecting the high variance typical of matches between a four-time champion and a skilled African contingent aiming for their fifth World Cup appearance.

Historically, similar mismatches in World Cup group stages have produced unpredictable exact scores, often leaning towards "Any Other Score" due to the fluid nature of regulation time. For instance, Germany’s 2006 and 2010 encounters against African teams frequently ended in multi-goal margins that defied pre-match exact-score predictions, suggesting the current 4% figure may understate the likelihood of an outlier result.

Traders should monitor team news updates and lineup declarations released by Al Jazeera Sports ahead of the 4 PM ET kickoff, as these often signal tactical shifts that could alter scoring dynamics. Recent campaign-finance disclosures from FIFA’s governing bodies have also sparked debate over player availability, with the Doue brothers’ divergent paths to the tournament serving as a key catalyst for market movement. The market is leaning on lineup announcements as the primary driver, per Al Jazeera’s pre-match coverage.

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Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.