Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. This market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties. The 0% implied probability reflects the mathematical improbability of predicting one specific scoreline among dozens of plausible outcomes in a competitive international fixture.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in football rarely attract meaningful probability mass on any single result. In comparable World Cup group-stage matches, even heavily favoured teams produce winning margins that distribute across multiple scorelines rather than concentrating on one. Haiti qualified for 2026 via the CONCACAF pathway and ranks 87th in FIFA standings; Scotland, ranked 37th, qualified through UEFA playoffs. The gap in playing strength creates asymmetry, but group-stage football remains inherently volatile—Scotland's recent record includes defeats to Georgia and Portugal, whilst Haiti's qualification itself demonstrated capacity to compete in regional competition.

Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the fortnight before 13 June, particularly injury updates affecting key players on either side. Fixture congestion in the days preceding this match could influence tactical approach and fatigue levels. The settlement window closes 14 June at 01:00 UTC, allowing only minimal time for score verification. Any postponement would extend the market open until completion. Current market structure suggests traders view exact-score prediction as sufficiently uncertain that no single outcome warrants backing at meaningful odds.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.