Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Qatar will face Switzerland in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June, with the match scheduled for 3:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 5% implied probability, suggesting traders view a specific scoreline as unlikely relative to the broader distribution of possible results. Settlement depends on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Historical World Cup group-stage matches between nations at similar competitive levels show exact-score predictions rarely exceed 8–12% probability for any single outcome. Qatar's 2022 World Cup campaign saw them eliminated in the group stage with a goal differential of −6, whilst Switzerland advanced from their group with mixed results. The gap in recent tournament performance and squad depth suggests asymmetric outcome probabilities, with Switzerland favoured to win. Exact-score markets typically concentrate probability mass on low-scoring draws (0–0, 1–1) and narrow Swiss victories (1–0, 2–0), with other specific lines trading at 2–4% each.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports as the tournament approaches, particularly for key Swiss players and any late changes to Qatar's roster. The FIFA World Cup scheduling remains firm; no postponements have been flagged for this fixture. Recent form in qualifying rounds and pre-tournament friendlies will provide updated information on attacking potency and defensive stability, directly affecting which scorelines appear most probable. Betting markets and aggregated odds from major sportsbooks typically lead prediction-market pricing on sports outcomes.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.