United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The United States and Paraguay will meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage fixture on 12 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 9:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 10% implied probability, suggesting traders view a specific scoreline as unlikely relative to the broader distribution of possible results. Settlement depends on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty decisions.

Historical precedent offers limited guidance for US-Paraguay matchups at World Cup level. The nations have met only twice in competitive fixtures, with the US winning 3–0 in 1995 Copa América qualifying and Paraguay prevailing 1–0 in 1999 Copa América group play. Recent World Cup group-stage matches between similarly ranked sides typically produce scorelines between 1–0 and 2–1, with exact scores occurring in roughly 15–20% of matches across major tournaments. The current 10% probability suggests the market is pricing this fixture as more volatile or open-ended than typical group-stage encounters.

Traders should monitor Paraguay's qualifying campaign performance and squad depth announcements through early 2026, as injuries to key players could shift expected goal-scoring patterns. The US squad composition and tactical approach under their manager will influence offensive output; recent CONCACAF qualifying results and friendly matches in spring 2026 will provide concrete form indicators. Match conditions—including weather at the scheduled venue and team selection decisions made hours before kickoff—remain unpredictable variables that typically widen the distribution of possible exact scores rather than concentrate it.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.