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LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

How the prediction markets are pricing "LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 90% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $125K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs ZennIT (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lol: zennit vs senshi esports club (bo3) - road of legends regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between ZennIT and Senshi Esports Club in the Road Of Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ZennIT" if…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
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Trade LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of L… on Election Predictions UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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