Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Detroit Tigers face the Cleveland Guardians in an MLB regular-season matchup on 13 June at 4:10PM ET, with the settlement window extending to 20 June. The market currently implies a 56% probability of a Tigers victory, reflecting modest favouritism despite the teams' competitive standing within the AL Central division.

Historical performance between these franchises provides limited predictive power for individual games, though divisional matchups typically show tighter margins than inter-league contests. The Tigers' recent form, pitching availability, and home-field advantage (or lack thereof) constitute the primary variables affecting outcome probability. Comparable single-game markets in MLB generally settle within 2–4 percentage points of opening implied probabilities when no significant roster disruptions occur between market open and game time.

Traders should monitor roster announcements through to game day, particularly regarding starting pitcher confirmation and any late injury disclosures from either club. Cleveland's recent performance trajectory and Detroit's offensive consistency in June matchups represent material catalysts. Weather conditions at the venue may also influence run-scoring expectations. The settlement window's extension to 20 June accounts for potential postponement, though cancellation without a make-up game remains unlikely under standard MLB scheduling protocols. No scheduled declarations or roster moves with confirmed dates appear to create discrete catalyst events between market open and game completion.

Methodology

This page tracks Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.