Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 88% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 24.5 | 83% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| Giants O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Cowboys O/U 17.5 | 79% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 71% |
| Giants O/U 17.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 69% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 69% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 62% |
| Cowboys vs. Giants | 60% |
| Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| 1H Moneyline | 57% |
| Cowboys O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| O/U 47.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 25.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 47% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| O/U 49.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| O/U 52.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Cowboys O/U 28.5 | 36% |
| Giants O/U 29.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| O/U 54.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| Cowboys O/U 31.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| O/U 58.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| Spread -19.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| O/U 62.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 64.5 | 12% |
| Spread -19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| O/U 66.5 | 9% |
| O/U 68.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cowboys vs. giants stands at 93% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 8:20PM ET: If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Cowboys vs. Giants plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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