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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

How the prediction markets are pricing "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $315K Liquidity: $543K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs Paper Rex (+7.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs Paper Rex (+6.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: karmine corp vs paper rex (bo3) - esports world cup group b. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kar…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
Which political events have the biggest volume?
US Presidential election, party nominations (DNC/RNC), Senate majorities, individual state outcomes (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin), and major European elections. Peak markets reach $50-500M per event.
and

Trade Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports … on Election Predictions UK

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