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Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

"Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — live political-market odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) 65% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $173K Liquidity: $159K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)65%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs LOUD (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs LOUD (+7.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs LOUD (+8.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
O/U 2.5 Games35%
Map 2 Winner30%
Match Winner12%
Map 1 Winner4%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 65% probability to valorant: loud vs 100 thieves (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 9 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOU…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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