Market statistics
- Total volume
- $538K
- 24h volume
- $538K
- Liquidity
- $832K
- Open interest
- $271K
Available prediction outcomes (26)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
This market refers to the LoL 3rd place match between Barça eSports and Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Barça eSports" if Barça eSports win the match against Movistar KOI Fénix. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix" if Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Barça eSports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a wi
Wikipedia Context
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Lola BarangLola Barang is a 2025 Philippine horror film screenplayed and directed by Joven Tan. The leading star is Ronnie Lazaro with special participation of Gina Pareño. Lola Barang is the acting debut of Lizzie Aguinaldo.
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Lola Cars
Lola Cars Limited is a British automobile manufacturer founded in 1958 by Eric Broadley in Bromley, England. The company is now owned by Till Bechtolsheimer, who purchased it in 2022. Lola Cars endured for more than fifty years to become one of the oldest and largest manufacturers of racing cars in the world. Lola started by building small front-engine sport
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Lou Barbaro
Louis Barbaro was a professional golfer and club pro.
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Carole LombardCarole Lombard was an American actress, particularly noted for her energetic, often off-beat roles in screwball comedies. In 1999, the American Film Institute ranked Lombard 23rd on its list of the greatest female stars of Classic Hollywood Cinema.
Methodology
This page tracks LoL: Barça eSports vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like PolyGram provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/LES. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like PolyGram route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Which political events have the biggest volume?
- US Presidential election, party nominations (DNC/RNC), Senate majorities, individual state outcomes (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin), and major European elections. Peak markets reach $50-500M per event.
Trade LoL: Barça eSports vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LE… on PolyGram
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