LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

HANJIN BRION will face DN SOOPers in a League of Legends best-of-three match during LCK Rounds 1-2, scheduled for 15 May 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for match completion, suggesting traders assess minimal risk of cancellation, postponement beyond the seven-day window, or a tie result. Settlement hinges on determining a decisive winner within the specified timeframe, with resolution to 50-50 only if the match is entirely unplayed or remains unresolved after the delay threshold.

Historical precedent from LCK scheduling indicates that regular-season matches in established league formats rarely face cancellation or extended delays beyond administrative rescheduling windows. Both organisations maintain active rosters and consistent participation records, reducing forfeiture risk. The 100% probability reflects confidence in standard league operations rather than assessment of competitive balance between the teams.

Traders should monitor LCK official announcements regarding player availability, health protocols, or facility access in the days preceding the match. Recent esports scheduling disruptions have typically stemmed from roster changes or administrative issues rather than match-day complications. The settlement window closes at 16:15 UTC on 15 May, providing a defined endpoint for resolution. Any official LCK communication regarding rescheduling or cancellation would materially alter market conditions, though such announcements remain infrequent for established league fixtures.

Methodology

This page tracks LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.