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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

How the prediction markets are pricing "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 64% Volume: $127K Liquidity: $437K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?62%
O/U 3.5 Games61%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Game 4 Winner39%
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?33%
Game 1 Winner33%
Game 2 Winner33%
Game 3 Winner33%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Match Winner19%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to lol: deep cross gaming vs team liquid (bo5) - mid-season invitational play-in. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deep Cross Gaming and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
Which political events have the biggest volume?
US Presidential election, party nominations (DNC/RNC), Senate majorities, individual state outcomes (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin), and major European elections. Peak markets reach $50-500M per event.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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