Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Eintracht Spandau | 0% Anubis Gaming |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Eintracht Spandau | 100% Anubis Gaming |
| Match Winner | 100% Eintracht Spandau | 0% Anubis Gaming |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) | 0% Eintracht Spandau | 100% Anubis Gaming |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D. This market refers to the LoL Decider match between Eintracht Spandau and Anubis Gaming in the EMEA Masters Group D, initially scheduled for June 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eintrac…
Methodology
This page tracks LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Election Predictions UK →