LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

G2 Esports and Movistar KOI will contest the upper bracket final of the 2026 LEC Playoffs in a best-of-five match on 25 May. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket and faces an additional match to remain in contention for the championship.

G2 Esports enters as the higher-seeded team and has historically dominated regular-season competition within the LEC, though their playoff record shows greater volatility. Movistar KOI represents the emerging challenger, having built momentum through the latter stages of the regular season with a roster featuring younger talent alongside experienced players. Head-to-head records between these organisations across the 2026 season will be the primary reference point for assessing relative strength, though playoff performance often diverges from regular-season form due to increased preparation time and tactical adjustments available to both teams.

The critical variables for traders centre on roster availability and recent form trajectory. Any last-minute roster changes, illness, or technical issues affecting either team in the week preceding the match could shift expectations substantially. Observers should monitor official LEC announcements regarding team status and any statements from coaching staff regarding preparation. The match commences at 11:00 AM ET on 25 May, with the settlement window closing at 21:00 UTC the same day, allowing sufficient time for completion of a best-of-five series under standard LEC scheduling. Delays beyond seven days without a determined winner would trigger a 50-50 resolution.

Methodology

This page tracks LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.