LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

RED Canids and FURIA Esports will contest the upper bracket final of the CBLOL (Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends) playoffs on 24 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-five match is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring at 22:00 UTC the same day. The current 25% implied probability favours FURIA Esports.

FURIA has historically dominated the Brazilian League of Legends scene, winning the CBLOL championship in 2021 and consistently reaching playoff finals. RED Canids, whilst competitive, has not achieved the same level of sustained success at the highest tier of CBLOL competition. Head-to-head records and recent regular season performance typically inform market pricing in esports brackets, where team strength differentials are more stable than in traditional sports due to the absence of injury randomness and the consistency of roster compositions throughout a season.

The primary catalyst affecting this market's movement will be any roster changes or player substitutions announced between now and match day, though these are unlikely given the proximity to playoffs. Traders should monitor official CBLOL announcements and team social media for last-minute schedule confirmations or technical issues that might delay the fixture beyond the seven-day threshold triggering a 50-50 resolution. Recent CBLOL broadcast schedules have been reliable, reducing the likelihood of cancellation or indefinite postponement. Performance data from the regular season and any prior playoff meetings between these teams will remain the dominant information set driving probability adjustments.

Methodology

This page tracks LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.