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LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

"LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live political-market odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) 100% Volume: $373K Liquidity: $954K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?90%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?47%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
O/U 2.5 Games1%
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)0%

Market context

LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the LoL match between RED Canids and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Can…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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