Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| NRFI | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 92% YES | 8% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
Market context
The Colorado Rockies face the Arizona Diamondbacks in an MLB regular-season matchup scheduled for 24 May at 4:10 PM ET, with the settlement window closing on 31 May. The market currently reflects a 2% implied probability for a Rockies victory, suggesting substantial confidence in an Arizona win.
Historical matchup data between these division rivals shows the Diamondbacks have maintained competitive advantage in recent seasons. The Rockies' home-field disadvantage at Coors Field—traditionally a hitter-friendly venue that paradoxically underperforms for Colorado—compounds their structural challenges. Arizona's roster depth and pitching consistency have positioned them as consistent playoff contenders, whilst the Rockies have struggled with roster construction and injury management. When examining comparable single-game markets where one team carries such low implied probability, outcomes typically hinge on injury status of key players and bullpen availability rather than fundamental team quality.
Traders should monitor roster announcements in the days preceding the fixture, particularly regarding starting pitcher assignments and any late-season injuries to either team's position players. Recent performance trends matter considerably—Arizona's standing in the NL West race and Colorado's momentum heading into late May will influence betting patterns. Weather conditions at game time, given Coors Field's elevation effects on ball carry, warrant attention. The Diamondbacks' recent form against left-handed pitchers and the Rockies' bullpen fatigue levels represent material variables. News sources covering MLB injury reports and lineup confirmations should be consulted through 24 May, as last-minute roster changes frequently shift market expectations in single-game contests.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $265K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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