Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Los Angeles Angels face the Cleveland Guardians in an MLB matchup scheduled for 13 May at 1:10 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 20 May. The current crowd-implied probability of 10% for an Angels victory reflects substantial market confidence in the Guardians, suggesting traders assess Cleveland as a clear favourite for this fixture.

Historical context matters here: the Guardians finished the 2023 season with 92 wins and reached the World Series, establishing themselves as a competitive AL Central side. The Angels, by contrast, have struggled in recent seasons, finishing 2023 with 73 wins. When teams with such divergent recent performance records meet, markets typically price the stronger franchise heavily. A 10% probability for the Angels implies the Guardians are favoured at roughly 90%, consistent with how prediction markets typically weight recent form disparities in baseball.

Traders should monitor roster availability and pitching matchups in the days preceding the game. Starting pitcher assignments often shift based on injury reports or weather considerations, and these announcements can materially alter win probabilities. Additionally, any late-breaking injury news affecting key position players—particularly for Cleveland's roster—could shift the probability. The settlement window extends a week beyond the scheduled date, allowing for postponements due to weather or other circumstances that might affect the final outcome.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.