Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Philadelphia Phillies face the Milwaukee Brewers on 13 June at 7:10PM ET in a regular-season MLB fixture. The 40% crowd-implied probability favours Milwaukee, reflecting the Brewers' recent form and roster depth heading into mid-season play. This settlement window extends to 20 June, allowing for postponements or rescheduling without market closure.

Historical matchups between these franchises show competitive balance, though context shifts annually based on injury status and mid-season acquisitions. The Phillies' 2024 campaign trajectory and the Brewers' divisional standing within the National League Central will inform baseline expectations. Teams' performance in June typically reflects early-season adjustments, with bullpen reliability and starting-pitcher health becoming measurable factors that separate contenders from weaker performers over this period.

Traders should monitor roster updates through early June, particularly any injury announcements affecting key position players or starting pitchers for either side. Weather conditions at the scheduled venue may influence game dynamics; temperature and wind patterns affect ball carry distance and pitcher effectiveness. Recent form in the preceding week—win-loss records, run differential, and head-to-head records in similar matchups—provides concrete data points. The Brewers' current positioning in the division and their recent performance against comparable National League opponents will likely drive any significant probability shifts before the settlement window closes.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.