Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| Race to 10 | 100% |
| Race to 20 | 100% |
| Race to 30 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 184.5 | 99% |
| O/U 182.5 | 99% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 92.5 | 99% |
| O/U 186.5 | 98% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 98% |
| Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 98% |
| 1H Moneyline | 98% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 98% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 98% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 98% |
| 1H O/U 94.5 | 98% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | 97% |
| O/U 188.5 | 97% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 97% |
| Spread -2.5 | 96% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 96% |
| Spread -5.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| O/U 190.5 | 95% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 95% |
| Spread -6.5 | 94% |
| O/U 192.5 | 94% |
| Spread -7.5 | 93% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 93% |
| O/U 194.5 | 92% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 92% |
| Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| Spread -9.5 | 89% |
| O/U 196.5 | 89% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 9.5 | 89% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 89% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 88% |
| Spread -10.5 | 87% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 87% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Spread -11.5 | 86% |
| O/U 198.5 | 86% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| Spread -12.5 | 84% |
| Spread -13.5 | 82% |
| O/U 200.5 | 82% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 81% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| Spread -14.5 | 79% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 9.5 | 79% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| O/U 202.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 77% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 75% |
| O/U 204.5 | 73% |
| Spread -16.5 | 73% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 73% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 69% |
| O/U 206.5 | 68% |
| Spread -18.5 | 68% |
| Coby White: Points O/U 9.5 | 68% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 66% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| O/U 207.5 | 64% |
| Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| O/U 209.5 | 62% |
| Spread -20.5 | 61% |
| Coby White: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Team to Score First | 61% |
| O/U 208.5 | 60% |
| Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 57% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| O/U 210.5 | 56% |
| Spread -22.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 56% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Coby White: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Coby White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Celtics O/U 98.5 | 51% |
| Hornets O/U 110.5 | 51% |
| Celtics O/U 96.5 | 51% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| O/U 212.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Coby White: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Coby White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coby White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 96.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 94.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 92.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 90.5 | 50% |
| Coby White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 88.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Hornets O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Coby White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Royce O'Neale: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Royce O'Neale: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Royce O'Neale: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Celtics O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Hornets 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Royce O'Neale: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 48% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| O/U 214.5 | 47% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -26.5 | 42% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 42% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| O/U 216.5 | 38% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Spread -28.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 218.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -30.5 | 31% |
| O/U 220.5 | 28% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 28% |
| Spread -32.5 | 27% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 222.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 23% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Coby White: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Spread -34.5 | 21% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| Coby White: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| O/U 224.5 | 19% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Coby White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Coby White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| O/U 226.5 | 14% |
| Spread -36.5 | 14% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Coby White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Coby White: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 13% |
| Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| O/U 228.5 | 11% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 230.5 | 8% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 8% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| O/U 232.5 | 6% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 6% |
| O/U 234.5 | 5% |
| O/U 236.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| O/U 238.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 2% |
| Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| Spread -11.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
Market context
Celtics vs. Hornets — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming NBA game between Celtics and Hornets, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Celtics win, the…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $936K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Celtics vs. Hornets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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