Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 84% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 75% |
| O/U 227.5 | 74% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 73% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 71% |
| O/U 230.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 231.5 | 66% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 65% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 65% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 63% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 62% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 235.5 | 59% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| O/U 236.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 238.5 | 54% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 239.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 240.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Overtime? | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 243.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 39% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -11.5 | 36% |
| O/U 246.5 | 36% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 35% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 35% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 33% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 33% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 249.5 | 28% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 26% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 25% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 23% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 16% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 11% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 84% probability to mavericks vs. pacers. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is po…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $265K.
Methodology
This page tracks Mavericks vs. Pacers across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Election Predictions UK provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2365a30d%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2365a30d%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2365a30d%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%2365a30d%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Mavericks vs. Pacers on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →