Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 204.5 | 93% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 91% |
| O/U 206.5 | 90% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 1.5 | 89% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 1.5 | 89% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 89% |
| O/U 208.5 | 88% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 88% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 9.5 | 87% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 87% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 86% |
| Warriors O/U 108.5 | 86% |
| O/U 210.5 | 85% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 85% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 9.5 | 85% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 84% |
| O/U 212.5 | 82% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 81% |
| Warriors O/U 110.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 80% |
| O/U 214.5 | 79% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 9.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 79% |
| Pelicans O/U 99.5 | 79% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| O/U 216.5 | 76% |
| Warriors O/U 112.5 | 76% |
| Derik Queen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 75% |
| Spread -4.5 | 74% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 74% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 73% |
| Pelicans O/U 101.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 72% |
| O/U 218.5 | 72% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 3.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 72% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| O/U 220.5 | 69% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 69% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Warriors O/U 114.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 69% |
| Spread -6.5 | 68% |
| Derik Queen: Points O/U 9.5 | 68% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5 | 68% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 68% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 58.5 | 68% |
| Karlo Matković: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| Pelicans O/U 103.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 66% |
| Spread -7.5 | 64% |
| O/U 222.5 | 64% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 64% |
| Warriors O/U 116.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 64% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 53.5 | 62% |
| Spread -8.5 | 61% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| O/U 224.5 | 60% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Karlo Matković: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Pelicans O/U 105.5 | 60% |
| Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 60.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 58% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 57% |
| Spread -9.5 | 56% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5 | 56% |
| Warriors O/U 118.5 | 56% |
| O/U 226.5 | 55% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 55% |
| Pelicans O/U 107.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| O/U 228.5 | 51% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Pelicans O/U 108.5 | 51% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Derik Queen: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Karlo Matković: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Karlo Matković: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Karlo Matković: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Herbert Jones: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Herbert Jones: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Herbert Jones: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 229.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Karlo Matković: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Overtime? | 48% |
| Pelicans O/U 109.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Warriors O/U 121.5 | 47% |
| Herbert Jones: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 230.5 | 46% |
| Spread -12.5 | 46% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 28.5 | 45% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| Karlo Matković: Points O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Pelicans O/U 110.5 | 45% |
| Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 231.5 | 44% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Herbert Jones: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Spread -13.5 | 43% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 8.5 | 43% |
| Karlo Matković: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Dejounte Murray: Steals O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| O/U 232.5 | 42% |
| Karlo Matković: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Warriors O/U 122.5 | 42% |
| Spread -14.5 | 41% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pelicans O/U 111.5 | 41% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 57.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 39% |
| O/U 234.5 | 38% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 38% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 64.5 | 38% |
| Warriors O/U 124.5 | 38% |
| Herbert Jones: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Spread -15.5 | 37% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 56.5 | 37% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| Spread -16.5 | 35% |
| Derik Queen: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| O/U 236.5 | 34% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 34% |
| Herbert Jones: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Georges Niang: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Derik Queen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Pelicans O/U 113.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Warriors O/U 126.5 | 32% |
| O/U 238.5 | 31% |
| Spread -18.5 | 31% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 31% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 30% |
| Karlo Matković: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Dejounte Murray: Steals O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 66.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 240.5 | 27% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Pelicans O/U 115.5 | 27% |
| Warriors O/U 128.5 | 27% |
| Spread -20.5 | 26% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 8.5 | 25% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Moneyline | 25% |
| O/U 242.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Pelicans 1H O/U 61.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 23% |
| Pelicans O/U 117.5 | 23% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 22% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| O/U 244.5 | 20% |
| Spread -22.5 | 20% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| Warriors O/U 130.5 | 20% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Pelicans vs. Warriors | 18% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| Karlo Matković: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Pelicans O/U 119.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| O/U 246.5 | 17% |
| Spread -24.5 | 17% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -1.5 | 16% |
| O/U 248.5 | 16% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 16% |
| Warriors O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Dejounte Murray: Steals O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 15% |
| Spread -26.5 | 14% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 14% |
| Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| O/U 250.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| Pelicans O/U 121.5 | 13% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Herbert Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 11% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 11% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| O/U 252.5 | 10% |
| Spread -28.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 70.5 | 10% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| O/U 254.5 | 9% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Pelicans O/U 123.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Herbert Jones: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Karlo Matković: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Karlo Matković: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Derik Queen: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Derik Queen: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| O/U 256.5 | 7% |
| Spread -30.5 | 7% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 39.5 | 7% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| 1Q O/U 72.5 | 7% |
| Karlo Matković: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| O/U 258.5 | 6% |
| O/U 260.5 | 6% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 44.5 | 6% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Saddiq Bey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 6% |
| Herbert Jones: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -32.5 | 5% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -34.5 | 4% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 4% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Herbert Jones: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -11.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -36.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -38.5 | 2% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 24.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 29.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 34.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Steals O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Steals O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Steals O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Zion Williamson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 7.5 | 1% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Zion Williamson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for Pelicans vs. Warriors. In the upcoming NBA game between Pelicans and Warriors, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Pelicans win,…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.2M.
Methodology
This page tracks Pelicans vs. Warriors across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Election Predictions UK provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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Trade Pelicans vs. Warriors on Election Predictions UK
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