Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 96% |
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 94% |
| O/U 206.5 | 93% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 91% |
| Spurs vs. Kings | 90% |
| Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| O/U 208.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 89% |
| O/U 210.5 | 88% |
| O/U 212.5 | 87% |
| Kings O/U 94.5 | 87% |
| Spread -3.5 | 86% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 86% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 85% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 84% |
| 1H Moneyline | 84% |
| O/U 214.5 | 83% |
| Spread -5.5 | 83% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 83% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 82% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 82% |
| Kings O/U 96.5 | 82% |
| O/U 216.5 | 81% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 81% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| Spread -7.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 78% |
| O/U 218.5 | 77% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 77% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 77% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| Kings O/U 98.5 | 76% |
| Spread -9.5 | 74% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 74% |
| O/U 220.5 | 73% |
| Kings 1H O/U 52.5 | 73% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 59.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 72% |
| Spread -10.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 70% |
| Kings O/U 100.5 | 70% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 69% |
| Kings 1H O/U 50.5 | 69% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| O/U 222.5 | 68% |
| Spread -11.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 68% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 66% |
| O/U 224.5 | 65% |
| Spread -12.5 | 65% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| Kings O/U 102.5 | 64% |
| Spread -13.5 | 63% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 62% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 61.5 | 62% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| Spread -14.5 | 61% |
| O/U 226.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 61% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| Spurs O/U 122.5 | 58% |
| Kings O/U 104.5 | 58% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| Spread -15.5 | 57% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| O/U 228.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Spread -16.5 | 55% |
| O/U 229.5 | 55% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 0.5 | 55% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 55% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 63.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 54% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| O/U 230.5 | 52% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 52% |
| Spurs O/U 120.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 52% |
| Spurs O/U 116.5 | 52% |
| Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| Kings O/U 106.5 | 51% |
| Race to 10 | 51% |
| Race to 20 | 51% |
| Race to 30 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 124.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 118.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 112.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 110.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 51% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Malik Monk: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Kings 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 134.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| Spurs O/U 132.5 | 49% |
| O/U 231.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| Spurs O/U 128.5 | 48% |
| O/U 232.5 | 47% |
| Spread -18.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 47% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 46% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Spread -19.5 | 44% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 44% |
| Spurs O/U 126.5 | 44% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 43% |
| Kings O/U 108.5 | 43% |
| O/U 234.5 | 42% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 42% |
| Spread -20.5 | 41% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 40% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 65.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 40% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 236.5 | 38% |
| Spread -21.5 | 38% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Kings 1H O/U 56.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 36% |
| Kings O/U 110.5 | 36% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Malik Monk: Points O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| O/U 238.5 | 33% |
| Spread -23.5 | 33% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Malik Monk: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Steals O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 32% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 67.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 32% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 31% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| O/U 240.5 | 30% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 | 30% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Kings O/U 112.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 29% |
| Spread -25.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Kings 1H O/U 58.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Malik Monk: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| O/U 242.5 | 26% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 26% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 25% |
| Spread -27.5 | 24% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Kings O/U 114.5 | 24% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 23% |
| O/U 244.5 | 22% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Malik Monk: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 22% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 21% |
| Kings O/U 116.5 | 21% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 20% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| O/U 246.5 | 19% |
| Spread -29.5 | 19% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Malik Monk: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 248.5 | 16% |
| Spread -31.5 | 16% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Steals O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Kings O/U 118.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 15% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 15% |
| O/U 250.5 | 14% |
| O/U 258.5 | 14% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 14% |
| Spread -33.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 13% |
| O/U 252.5 | 12% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 12% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 1.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Spread -35.5 | 10% |
| Spread -43.5 | 10% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 10% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| O/U 254.5 | 9% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 9% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 9% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -37.5 | 8% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| O/U 256.5 | 7% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| Spread -12.5 | 6% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 6% |
| Spread -4.5 | 5% |
| Spread -6.5 | 5% |
| Spread -39.5 | 5% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Spread -41.5 | 4% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Malik Monk: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -8.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 24.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 1% |
Market context
Spurs vs. Kings — current market-implied probability: 96%. In the upcoming NBA game between Spurs and Kings, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Spurs win, the mark…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $811K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Spurs vs. Kings plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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