Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Race to 20 | 99% |
| Race to 30 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 94.5 | 99% |
| O/U 201.5 | 97% |
| O/U 199.5 | 97% |
| O/U 197.5 | 96% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 95% |
| O/U 207.5 | 94% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 203.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 91% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 90% |
| O/U 211.5 | 87% |
| O/U 209.5 | 87% |
| O/U 213.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 85% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 80% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 9.5 | 80% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 14.5 | 80% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 9.5 | 79% |
| O/U 215.5 | 78% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 9.5 | 78% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 78% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5 | 75% |
| O/U 217.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 72% |
| O/U 219.5 | 69% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 68% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 66% |
| Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| O/U 221.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 62% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| Team to Score First | 61% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| O/U 223.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 224.5 | 56% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| O/U 225.5 | 55% |
| Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks O/U 113.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 226.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| O/U 227.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -35.5 | 47% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| O/U 229.5 | 44% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 42% |
| 1H Moneyline | 41% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 38% |
| O/U 231.5 | 37% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 34% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Daniel Gafford: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks | 31% |
| O/U 233.5 | 31% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Daniel Gafford: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 235.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 26% |
| Spread -11.5 | 25% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| O/U 237.5 | 23% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Spread -12.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| O/U 239.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Spread -17.5 | 19% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Spread -15.5 | 16% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 15% |
| O/U 241.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 243.5 | 10% |
| O/U 245.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 10% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 247.5 | 8% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 8% |
| Spread -12.5 | 7% |
| O/U 249.5 | 7% |
| O/U 251.5 | 7% |
| O/U 253.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 5% |
| Spread -23.5 | 4% |
| Spread -25.5 | 4% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -29.5 | 2% |
| Spread -31.5 | 2% |
| Race to 10 | 2% |
| Spread -33.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to jazz vs. mavericks. In the upcoming NBA game between Jazz and Mavericks, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Jazz win, the mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $679K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Jazz vs. Mavericks plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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