Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 100% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Kingston Flemings: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Race to 30 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Luguentz Dort: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 206.5 | 99% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 99% |
| O/U 208.5 | 98% |
| O/U 204.5 | 98% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 98% |
| O/U 210.5 | 97% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 97% |
| O/U 212.5 | 96% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 95% |
| O/U 214.5 | 94% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 93% |
| O/U 216.5 | 92% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| O/U 218.5 | 89% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 89% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 87% |
| Kingston Flemings: Points O/U 9.5 | 87% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 7.5 | 87% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 87% |
| O/U 220.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 86% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 86% |
| O/U 222.5 | 83% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 83% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 9.5 | 82% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 82% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 81% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 80% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 14.5 | 79% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 79% |
| O/U 224.5 | 78% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5 | 76% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| O/U 226.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 74% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 3.5 | 72% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5 | 71% |
| O/U 228.5 | 69% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 24.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 67% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 66% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| O/U 229.5 | 64% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| O/U 230.5 | 63% |
| Spread -5.5 | 62% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5 | 60% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 59% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| O/U 232.5 | 56% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| O/U 234.5 | 51% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Kingston Flemings: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Luguentz Dort: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Kingston Flemings: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kingston Flemings: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kingston Flemings: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kingston Flemings: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kingston Flemings: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| O/U 236.5 | 46% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Team to Score First | 41% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 41% |
| O/U 238.5 | 40% |
| Spread -11.5 | 39% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 38% |
| Spread -12.5 | 36% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Kingston Flemings: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| O/U 240.5 | 34% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| O/U 242.5 | 30% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 29% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 28% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| O/U 244.5 | 25% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Wizards vs. Hawks | 23% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 21% |
| O/U 246.5 | 20% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Spread -1.5 | 19% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Spread -18.5 | 18% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| O/U 248.5 | 17% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| O/U 250.5 | 13% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 13% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Spread -5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -22.5 | 11% |
| O/U 252.5 | 11% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Kingston Flemings: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| O/U 254.5 | 9% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -24.5 | 8% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -26.5 | 6% |
| O/U 256.5 | 6% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -28.5 | 5% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 5% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 5% |
| O/U 258.5 | 4% |
| Kingston Flemings: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 24.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 4% |
| Spread -11.5 | 3% |
| Spread -34.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -30.5 | 2% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 2% |
| Spread -15.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -19.5 | 1% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 22.5 | 1% |
| Spread -32.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 1% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 21.5 | 1% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Race to 10 | 0% |
| Race to 20 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Wizards vs. Hawks. In the upcoming NBA game between Wizards and Hawks, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Wizards win, the m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.8M.
Methodology
This page tracks Wizards vs. Hawks across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Election Predictions UK provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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Trade Wizards vs. Hawks on Election Predictions UK
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