Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 192.5 | 100% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 99% |
| O/U 196.5 | 98% |
| O/U 194.5 | 98% |
| O/U 198.5 | 97% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 97% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 97% |
| O/U 200.5 | 96% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 96% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 95% |
| O/U 204.5 | 94% |
| O/U 202.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 93% |
| O/U 206.5 | 92% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 9.5 | 90% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 90% |
| O/U 208.5 | 89% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 89% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 89% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 89% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 88% |
| O/U 210.5 | 86% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 9.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 85% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 9.5 | 84% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 84% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| O/U 212.5 | 83% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 83% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 83% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 81% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 214.5 | 79% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 77% |
| O/U 216.5 | 75% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 19.5 | 72% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 71% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| O/U 218.5 | 70% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 14.5 | 70% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 61.5 | 67% |
| O/U 220.5 | 65% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 64% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 62% |
| O/U 222.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 61% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 61% |
| Pistons O/U 122.5 | 60% |
| Wizards O/U 92.5 | 60% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 59% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 56% |
| Pistons O/U 124.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| O/U 224.5 | 54% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| Wizards O/U 108.5 | 54% |
| Pistons O/U 120.5 | 54% |
| Pistons O/U 112.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 47.5 | 53% |
| Pistons O/U 104.5 | 53% |
| Pistons O/U 102.5 | 53% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 52% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| Wizards O/U 94.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cade Cunningham: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Pistons O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Pistons 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tre Johnson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tre Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tre Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 226.5 | 49% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Pistons O/U 116.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 49% |
| Wizards O/U 98.5 | 49% |
| Pistons O/U 106.5 | 49% |
| Wizards O/U 96.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Moneyline | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 57.5 | 47% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| Pistons O/U 108.5 | 47% |
| Pistons O/U 126.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Wizards O/U 100.5 | 45% |
| Spread -9.5 | 44% |
| O/U 228.5 | 44% |
| Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 53.5 | 44% |
| Pistons O/U 110.5 | 44% |
| Pistons O/U 114.5 | 43% |
| Team to Score First | 43% |
| Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 40% |
| O/U 230.5 | 39% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Wizards O/U 104.5 | 38% |
| Wizards O/U 106.5 | 38% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| Spread -11.5 | 36% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -12.5 | 34% |
| O/U 232.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Pistons 1H O/U 63.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 32% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| Paul Reed: Assists O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| O/U 234.5 | 28% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Wizards vs. Pistons | 27% |
| John Collins: Points O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Spread -15.5 | 26% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| O/U 236.5 | 24% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 24% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 24% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| Spread -1.5 | 23% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| O/U 238.5 | 20% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| Spread -18.5 | 18% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| O/U 240.5 | 18% |
| Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 17% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| O/U 242.5 | 14% |
| John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Spread -38.5 | 12% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Paul Reed: Assists O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 12% |
| Spread -22.5 | 11% |
| O/U 244.5 | 11% |
| Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Paul Reed: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| O/U 246.5 | 9% |
| Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -24.5 | 8% |
| Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| O/U 248.5 | 7% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Spread -26.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 5% |
| Spread -28.5 | 4% |
| Spread -30.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 3% |
| Spread -32.5 | 2% |
| Spread -15.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -34.5 | 1% |
| Spread -36.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Race to 10 | 0% |
| Race to 20 | 0% |
| Race to 30 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Wizards vs. Pistons — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming NBA game between Wizards and Pistons, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Wizards win, the…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.0M.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Wizards vs. Pistons plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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