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Dolphins vs. Vikings

"Dolphins vs. Vikings" across the four most-traded political prediction venues — live data, regulatory notes, every CTA to Election Predictions UK.

Spread -3.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% O/U 22.5 100% O/U 24.5 100% Volume: $4.5M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Dolphins vs. Vikings

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 22.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
Vikings O/U 10.5100%
Vikings O/U 12.5100%
Vikings O/U 13.5100%
Vikings 1H O/U 6.5100%
Dolphins 2H O/U 6.5100%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
3Q Moneyline100%
Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Dolphins vs. Vikings0%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -10.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 26.50%
O/U 28.50%
O/U 30.50%
O/U 32.50%
O/U 34.50%
O/U 36.50%
O/U 38.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2H O/U 16.50%
2H O/U 19.50%
2H O/U 22.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 5.50%
1Q O/U 6.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 6.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 5.50%
4Q O/U 6.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 14.50%
Dolphins O/U 10.50%
Dolphins O/U 12.50%
Dolphins O/U 13.50%
Dolphins O/U 16.50%
Dolphins O/U 19.50%
Dolphins O/U 20.50%
Dolphins O/U 23.50%
Dolphins O/U 26.50%
Dolphins O/U 27.50%
Dolphins O/U 30.50%
Dolphins O/U 34.50%
Vikings O/U 16.50%
Vikings O/U 19.50%
Vikings O/U 20.50%
Vikings O/U 23.50%
Vikings O/U 26.50%
Vikings O/U 27.50%
Vikings O/U 30.50%
Vikings O/U 34.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 6.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 10.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 13.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 16.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 19.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 20.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 10.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 12.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 13.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 16.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 17.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 19.50%
Vikings 1H O/U 20.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 10.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 13.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 16.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 19.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 20.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 6.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 10.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 12.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 13.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 16.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 17.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 19.50%
Vikings 2H O/U 20.50%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-200%
Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Team to Record Longest FG0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q0%
Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Dolphins vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Dolphins Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Dolphins vs. Vikings. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 10% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-04T20:05:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -3.5 at 100% for "Dolphins vs. Vikings".

Spread -3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $4.5M.

Methodology

This page tracks Dolphins vs. Vikings across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Election Predictions UK provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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