Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 89% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 86% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 84% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 64% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| O/U 42.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 60% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Saints vs. Giants | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 50% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 44% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 43% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 43% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 42% |
| Saints vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 38% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| Safety? | 35% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 34% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 23% |
| O/U 56.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| O/U 58.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, saints vs. giants stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL football game between Saints and Giants, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Saints" if Saints win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $255K.
Methodology
This page tracks Saints vs. Giants across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Election Predictions UK provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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