Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| FC Argeș Pitești | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
CFR Cluj host FC Argeș Pitești in the Romania SuperLiga championship group, with kick-off already scheduled for 17:30 UTC. The market is still priced at 0% YES, which points to an extreme expectation of no settlement in favour of the named outcome before the window closes. In football terms, that sort of price is usually only seen when the event is thought to be either already effectively settled or highly unlikely to produce the listed result within the specified timeframe.
The historical frame is strongly in CFR Cluj’s favour. FootyStats puts Cluj on 10 wins from the last 13 meetings, while SportsGambler cites eight wins in the last 10 head-to-heads and notes Cluj’s recent home record of eight wins and two draws from their last 10 at Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu. Those comparisons matter because they suggest the baseline for this fixture has been a home edge rather than a volatile matchup. The same sources also point to a low-scoring pattern: SportsGambler recommends under 2.5 goals, and previous meetings at this ground have often been tight.
For traders, the main catalyst is the pre-match team and line-up information rather than any external political-style event cycle. FotMob and SofaScore both carried the fixture as starting at 17:30 UTC, and recent previews have leaned on CFR’s home form, Argeș’s weaker away sequence, and the expected scoring profile. If there is any late movement, it is more likely to come from confirmed line-ups, late injury news, or a major change in market confidence around whether the match is actually proceeding as scheduled.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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