Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| US Cremonese (-1.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Como 1907 (-1.5) | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| US Cremonese (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Como 1907 (-2.5) | 20% YES | 81% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 79% YES | 22% NO |
Market context
A Serie A fixture between US Cremonese and Como 1907 is scheduled for 24 May 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The market in question requests additional betting options beyond standard match outcomes, with settlement contingent on official Serie A records published after the final whistle.
Historical precedent suggests that mid-table Italian clubs generate modest trading volumes on ancillary markets. Cremonese and Como occupy similar competitive tiers; neither club has commanded sustained attention from major sportsbooks in recent seasons. The 1% implied probability reflects extreme scarcity of matched bets rather than a consensus forecast about match mechanics. Comparable fixtures between lower-tier Serie A sides have typically settled with minimal liquidity, indicating that traders are pricing in both low demand and uncertainty about whether sufficient counterparties will emerge before the settlement window closes.
The critical catalyst remains fixture confirmation and any late-season squad changes announced by either club in the weeks preceding May. Injuries to key players, managerial changes, or unexpected relegation battles could shift trading patterns sharply. As of early 2026, neither club has issued public statements regarding squad rotation or tactical adjustments for this particular match. Traders should monitor official Serie A fixture lists and club announcements through May, as confirmation of team sheets typically occurs 24 hours before kick-off. The settlement window closes at 13:00 GMT on match day, leaving minimal time for post-match data verification.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $155K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for US Cremonese vs. Como 1907 - More Markets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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