Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis Set 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis Match O/U 21.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis Match O/U 22.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
This market refers to the tennis match between Hynek Barton and David Jorda Sanchis in the Istanbul, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hynek Barton' if Hynek Barton advances against David Jorda Sanchis. This market will resolve to 'David Jorda Sanchis' if David Jorda Sanchis advances against Hynek Barton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, t
Methodology
This page tracks Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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