Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Lower Bracket quarterfinal in the European Pro League Playoffs where Zero Tenacity faces summer bear in a Best-of-3 Dota 2 match, originally scheduled for 8:00 AM ET on 20 June 2026. The market currently implies a 0% chance for Zero Tenacity to win, yet live data confirms the match has already concluded with Zero Tenacity securing a 2–1 victory[2][5]. This stark divergence between the crowd-implied probability and the actual result mirrors historical cases in prediction markets where settlement delays or technical glitches cause prices to freeze at pre-match levels despite outcomes being known, as seen in several esports tournaments where markets resolved days after the final whistle[4].

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements from the European Pro League regarding result verification and market settlement procedures, as these catalysts will determine when the 0% price corrects to reflect the confirmed win[2]. Recent news from GoSuGamers highlights the final score and ranking disparities, with Zero Tenacity ranked 29th globally versus summer bear at 44th, suggesting the market is leaning on a delayed data feed rather than a genuine lack of confidence in the team’s capability[2]. Watch for declarations from the league administrators confirming the match completion, which will serve as the primary trigger for market resolution and price adjustment.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page tracks Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.