Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh | 100% Vilius Gaubas | 0% Michael Mmoh |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh Match O/U 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh Match O/U 23.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Mmoh | 100% Gaubas |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon, qualification atp: vilius gaubas vs michael mmoh. This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Michael Mmoh in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'V…
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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