Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
38% | 62% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
38% | 62% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Uruguay (-1.5) | 38% Uruguay | 63% Cabo Verde |
| Uruguay (-2.5) | 18% Uruguay | 83% Cabo Verde |
| O/U 0.5 | 91% Over | 9% Under |
| O/U 2.5 | 42% Over | 59% Under |
| O/U 4.5 | 9% Over | 91% Under |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% YES | 63% NO |
Market context
Uruguay face Cabo Verde in a Group H World Cup match in Miami, with the crowd now pricing **38% YES** on there being *more markets* attached to the fixture. The live match listing places kick-off at Hard Rock Stadium on 21 June and confirms the fixture is part of FIFA World Cup 2026’s first stage, which means any additional market set is being driven by the match itself rather than by a separate tournament schedule[5].
For context, this sort of market tends to behave like a low-variance “side event” around a heavily one-sided sporting contest: when a favourite is expected to control play, traders often lean on whether the book expands beyond the main 1x2 line into goal totals, player props, cards, corners, or other derivative markets. Public previews have Uruguay as the clear market favourite, with one recent betting preview describing them as heavy odds-on leaders, while ESPN’s match page also frames the game as a major Group H clash in which Marcelo Bielsa’s side are expected to push for a result[1][4]. That makes the current 38% reading look more consistent with a market leaning on *matchday line-up and price-format announcements* than on any dramatic shift in outright team strength[1][4].
The main catalyst to watch is the pre-kickoff publication of the final line-up, referee details, and any FIFA or broadcaster market-release updates, because those are the triggers most likely to bring additional derivative markets into play. ESPN’s match guide and FIFA’s match centre both already anchor the fixture’s timing and venue, while ESPN also names the referee and predicted line-ups, which are the sort of details traders use to infer whether extra markets will be posted or remain limited[1][5].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $771K.
Methodology
This page tracks Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets on Election Predictions UK
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