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Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

How the prediction markets are pricing "Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

38% YES 62% NO Volume: $771K Liquidity: $2.4M Closes: 21 Jun 2026
Trade on Election Predictions UK →
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Election Predictions UK Pick
polygram.ink
38% 62% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Election Predictions UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
38% 62% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Election Predictions UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Election Predictions UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Election Predictions UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Election Predictions UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.

Active sub-markets

Uruguay (-1.5)38% Uruguay63% Cabo Verde
Uruguay (-2.5)18% Uruguay83% Cabo Verde
O/U 0.591% Over9% Under
O/U 2.542% Over59% Under
O/U 4.59% Over91% Under
Both Teams to Score38% YES63% NO

Market context

Uruguay face Cabo Verde in a Group H World Cup match in Miami, with the crowd now pricing **38% YES** on there being *more markets* attached to the fixture. The live match listing places kick-off at Hard Rock Stadium on 21 June and confirms the fixture is part of FIFA World Cup 2026’s first stage, which means any additional market set is being driven by the match itself rather than by a separate tournament schedule[5].

For context, this sort of market tends to behave like a low-variance “side event” around a heavily one-sided sporting contest: when a favourite is expected to control play, traders often lean on whether the book expands beyond the main 1x2 line into goal totals, player props, cards, corners, or other derivative markets. Public previews have Uruguay as the clear market favourite, with one recent betting preview describing them as heavy odds-on leaders, while ESPN’s match page also frames the game as a major Group H clash in which Marcelo Bielsa’s side are expected to push for a result[1][4]. That makes the current 38% reading look more consistent with a market leaning on *matchday line-up and price-format announcements* than on any dramatic shift in outright team strength[1][4].

The main catalyst to watch is the pre-kickoff publication of the final line-up, referee details, and any FIFA or broadcaster market-release updates, because those are the triggers most likely to bring additional derivative markets into play. ESPN’s match guide and FIFA’s match centre both already anchor the fixture’s timing and venue, while ESPN also names the referee and predicted line-ups, which are the sort of details traders use to infer whether extra markets will be posted or remain limited[1][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 38% probability for "Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets".

YES 38% NO 62%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $771K.

Methodology

This page tracks Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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Related Topics

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