UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The bout between Shane Collins and Otari Tanzilovi is the real-world anchor for this market, and the reported 0% crowd-implied YES price suggests traders are treating a Collins win as extremely unlikely or not yet price-discovered. A useful comparator is that UFC fight markets often swing sharply once weigh-ins, official bout announcements and market-specific information line up, especially for debutants or short-notice pairings; Tapology lists the matchup, while UFC Stats later records the result as a Collins win over Tanzilovi at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi.[2][4]

For traders, the main catalyst is the UFC’s official result confirmation, because the market settles only on that source and also has explicit 50-50 treatment if the fight is ruled a draw, no contest, cancelled or otherwise not completed as scheduled.[1] Near-term attention should stay on the fight-card schedule, weigh-in coverage and any last-minute bout changes, since the market description allows postponement handling and the outcome only becomes certain once the UFC posts an official decision after the prelims slot.[1][5] FanDuel’s listing indicates the pairing was live in the betting market before the event, which is the most relevant external signal for whether the current zero price reflects stale data, a modelling error, or simply a market expecting the opposite side to prevail.[7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.