Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalinina | 0% Daria Snigur | 100% Anhelina Kalinina |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalinina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
Market context
The Lexus Eastbourne Open is a grass-court tournament running from 22 to 27 June 2026 in Eastbourne, with the women’s event listed on the WTA site as part of the grass-court swing and the women’s singles draw shown as 0 at overview level. The market is therefore leaning almost entirely on whether the scheduled match is actually played and completed, rather than on any established player-edge signal from the event itself.[2][1]
A 0% YES price usually reflects a contract that traders see as unplayable on current information, often because the match is not yet confirmed, the draw is incomplete, or the event can still be reshaped by withdrawals and scheduling changes. Comparable grass-court first-round markets can stay pinned low until a confirmed order of play appears, because Eastbourne’s timetable is compressed and matches are dependent on same-day court allocations at Devonshire Park.[4][7]
The key catalyst is the official order of play and any late withdrawal or postponement notice from the tournament or the WTA, since the market resolves 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner. Traders should also watch for whether Eastbourne’s daily play schedule is maintained as planned, as the LTA lists standard start times and tournament updates through its event pages.[1][4]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $127K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalinina plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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