Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

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Market context

Uruguay meet Cabo Verde in a Group H World Cup fixture at Hard Rock Stadium, with FIFA listing the kick-off for 21 June at 22:00 UTC and the market settling on the exact score after regulation plus stoppage time only. In exact-score markets, a low headline probability typically reflects the combined weight of several scorelines rather than a single forecast, so a 6% “Yes” reading is consistent with traders treating any one listed result as a narrow slice of the full outcome set.[1][5]

The historical frame leans towards Uruguay being the more established tournament side, but recent head-to-head context is thin: WhoScored says this is the first competitive meeting between the two nations, and Flashscore notes Uruguay have been unbeaten across their previous five World Cup matches while only four of their last 13 games featured both teams scoring.[3][6] That profile usually nudges exact-score pricing towards common low-scoring Uruguay wins or a narrow draw, rather than a high-scoring outlier.[3][6]

For traders, the key catalyst is line-up and team-news release close to kick-off, because any rotation in Uruguay’s attack or Cabo Verde’s defensive setup can shift expectations materially before the market closes. FIFA’s live match-centre entry is the main schedule anchor, while contemporary preview coverage and in-play updates will matter more than historical data once confirmed selections and tactical shapes are known.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page tracks Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.