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MLB: ERA Leader

"MLB: ERA Leader" across the four most-traded political prediction venues — live data, regulatory notes, every CTA to Election Predictions UK.

3% YES 97% NO Volume: $1.7M Liquidity: $40K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
Trade on Election Predictions UK →
MLB: ERA Leader

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Election Predictions UK Pick
polygram.ink
 3% 97% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Election Predictions UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 3% 97% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Election Predictions UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Election Predictions UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Election Predictions UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Election Predictions UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.

Active sub-markets

Tarik Skubal3% YES97% NO
Cristopher Sánchez16% YES84% NO
Nick Pivetta3% YES97% NO
Matthew Boyd1% YES99% NO
Logan Webb1% YES99% NO
Joe Ryan0% YES100% NO

Market context

MLB: ERA Leader — current market-implied probability: 3%. This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 3% probability for "MLB: ERA Leader".

YES 3% NO 97%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.7M.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for MLB: ERA Leader plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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