# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast Gaming’s next upload will determine whether the market clears a day-one view total in the lowest range or something materially higher. The current crowd-implied probability at 0% YES points to traders expecting either no qualifying upload in time or a first-day audience that is already being priced as too small to reach the listed threshold.

That caution fits the channel’s recent cadence. MrBeast Gaming’s own channel banner says it posts “every single Saturday at noon eastern time”, which gives traders a concrete scheduling anchor rather than a loose “when ready” creator pattern[7]. MrBeast’s main channel has continued to generate very large audiences, with recent uploads reaching tens of millions of views, including “Press This Button To Win $250,000” at 22 million views and another MrBeast video at 21 million views[4]. By contrast, the gaming channel’s recent visibility has been lower and less regularly surfaced in the available results, which makes the day-one benchmark much harder to model from headline MrBeast numbers alone[3][7].

The main catalyst is timing: whether the next MrBeast Gaming video actually appears before the June 30 deadline, and if it does, whether the upload slot follows the stated Saturday-noon ET pattern or lands on an unusual schedule[7]. Traders should also watch for any cross-promotion from MrBeast’s broader media activity, including the ongoing Beast Games Season 2 rollout on Prime Video, which keeps the brand in circulation and may affect attention across his channels[1][8]. In practice, this market is leaning most heavily on upload cadence rather than campaign-style announcements or external polling-style signals, because the resolution depends on a single channel event and the first 24 hours of audience response.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page tracks # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.